Avalanche Forecast

Issued around 6 pm every day from December 1 to April 30

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Date issued
Thursday 15 January 2026, 15 H 30
Valid until
Friday 16 January 2026, 18 H 00
Prepared by
Avalanche Québec

Snowpack stability is expected to deteriorate on Friday with the incoming snowfall and strong northwest winds. Wind slabs sensitive to skier and snowboarder traffic will form near ridgelines. Avoid wind-loaded slopes.

Danger ratings

Friday

Alpine
Treeline
Below Treeline
2 - Moderate
2 - Moderate
1 - Low
Alpine 2 - Moderate
Treeline 2 - Moderate
Below Treeline 1 - Low

Saturday

Alpine 3 - Considerable
Treeline 2 - Moderate
Below Treeline 1 - Low

Sunday

Alpine 2 - Moderate
Treeline 2 - Moderate
Below Treeline 1 - Low

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been affected by wind.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.

Problems

Avalanche problem 1 : Wind slab

What Elevation?
What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?
Expected Size?
New wind slabs could form on Friday with the new snowfall and strong to extreme northwest winds. Human-triggered avalanches are possible. We could encounter small, localized avalanches (size 1) as well as large avalanches (size 2) in isolated areas.

Avalanche Summary

Small, loose wet avalanches were observed on Thursday on 40-degree slopes below 600 m in elevation.

If you head into the backcountry, thanks for sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds have created highly variable conditions in the alpine and near treeline, with everything from scoured areas to hard wind slabs, wind-packed snow, and more recent, softer slabs.

We could receive 10 to 20 cm of new snow by Friday evening. This snowfall will add to the 30 to 40 cm of low-density snow from the last storm earlier this week. Below 600 m in elevation, the new snow will likely rest on a recent melt-freeze crust that formed on Thursday.

The December 20 crust is now located 70 to 110 cm below the surface and is in a degrading phase. The faceted grains above this crust are rounding due to warmer temperatures and are becoming less reactive in stability tests. This layer appears to be gradually strengthening.

The average snowpack depth at mid-elevation is approximately 120 cm.

Weather Summary

WEATHER FOR THE CHIC-CHOCS RIDGES AND PEAKS

A low-pressure system originating from Pennsylvania will bring 10 to 20 cm of snow by Friday evening.

Thursday evening and overnight: Intermittent snow, 2 cm of accumulation. Southwest winds at 10–20 km/h. Low of −10 °C.

Friday: Snow, 5 to 10 cm of accumulation. Northwest winds at 40–60 km/h. Temperatures falling to −14 °C by the afternoon.

Saturday: Sunny. Northwest winds at 50–70 km/h. High of −12 °C.

Sunday: Cloudy. Southwest winds at 10–30 km/h. High of −8 °C. Freezing level around 300 m.

For more details, see the Chic-Chocs alpine weather forecast.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the track & intensity of the incoming weather system.
Areas covered by the bulletin
  • Mont Albert
  • Mont Ernest-Laforce
  • Mont Hog’s Back
  • Champs-de-Mars
  • Mont Lyall
  • Mont Vallières-de-Saint-Réal
  • Mont Blanche-Lamontagne
  • Mines-Madeleine
Danger Ratings Explained
Forecast Disclaimer

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK

The authorized use of the information contained in this avalanche bulletin is limited to personal and recreational purposes. To the fullest extent permitted by law, the information is provided “as is” without any representation, condition or warranty of any kind, express or implied, including, without limitation, any implied warranty of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose or non-infringement. In no event shall Avalanche Quebec and its suppliers be liable for damages arising out of the use of the information or an inability to use it, including, without limitation, damages resulting from discomfort, injury or death, claims of third parties or other similar costs, or any damages (direct, indirect, consequential, special, exemplary, punitive or otherwise) of any kind.

Natural phenomena such as avalanches and weather conditions cannot be accurately predicted. This should be kept in mind at all times when using the information contained in this bulletin. Backcountry travel is a high-risk activity and the use of the information contained in this bulletin does not replace the experience, knowledge and equipment required, nor does it replace the services of a mountain guide.

For backcountry rescue call 911 and tell them you are in the Chic-Chocs

EDUCATIONAL VIDEO

Do you know how to get the most out of the avalanche bulletin ? Our colleagues at Avalanche Canada will explain it to you !

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Create a MIN report on the Mountain Information Network to share an avalanche observation or incident (public)